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The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable
Everything you need to know about what you don't know
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
Product details
Publisher : Penguin Press; 1st edition (7 July 2011)
Language : English
Paperback : 480 pages
ISBN-10 : 0141034599
ISBN-13 : 978-0141034591
Dimensions : 19.8 x 12.9 x 2.68 cm
Best Sellers Rank: 3,627 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
2 in Library & Information Science (Books)
3 in Epistemology (Books)
4 in Information Theory
Customer Reviews: 4.4
7,020 ratings
Publisher : Penguin Press; 1st edition (7 July 2011)
Language : English
Paperback : 480 pages
ISBN-10 : 0141034599
ISBN-13 : 978-0141034591
Dimensions : 19.8 x 12.9 x 2.68 cm
Best Sellers Rank: 3,627 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
2 in Library & Information Science (Books)
3 in Epistemology (Books)
4 in Information Theory
Customer Reviews: 4.4
7,020 ratings
Amazon Price History
This is our record of Amazon price changes for The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable (0141034599) since we began monitoring it.
| Price Type | Lowest Ever | Highest Ever | Current + | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon | (Jul 01, 2026) | (Jul 01, 2026) | 0,00 € (Jul 01, 2026) |
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Jul 01, 2026 03:24 AM
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