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The Black Swan, Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility": Incerto, Book 2
The Black Swan is a stand-alone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.
Amazon Price History
This is our record of Amazon price changes for The Black Swan, Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility": Incerto, Book 2 (B07KRNSX9L) since we began monitoring it.
| Price Type | Lowest Ever | Highest Ever | Current + | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon | (Jul 14, 2026) | (Jul 14, 2026) | 0,00 € (Jul 14, 2026) |
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Jul 14, 2026 08:15 PM
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![[The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable] (By: Nassim Nicholas Taleb) [published: April, 2007]](https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/31qHxUDQwoL._SL500_.jpg)
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